Tennis · Challenger Braga · 05/10, 12:30

Prediction: Oleksii Krutykh vs Filip Pieczonka

Team pages: Oleksii Krutykh · Filip Pieczonka

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Oleksii Krutykh Filip Pieczonka
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksii Krutykh 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWLL
Filip Pieczonka 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWLWWLWW
Head-to-head
Oleksii Krutykh 0–1 Filip Pieczonka (1 last)
  • 10 Jul1-2 11-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oleksii Krutykh 1553 · Filip Pieczonka 1557
Oleksii KrutykhFilip Pieczonka
Our model49%51%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Oleksii Krutykh 0–1 Filip Pieczonka (1).
  • Note: Filip Pieczonka makes many double faults (6.1/match).

Statistics

Oleksii KrutykhFilip Pieczonka
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 63% (8) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.6-0.8
Games (G-P)11.8-10.312.6-11
Aces2.64.1
Double faults26.1
1st serve %70%73.3%
Break %43.1%34.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

H2H · Oleksii Krutykh 0 – 1 Filip Pieczonka (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Oleksii Krutykh 0–1 Filip Pieczonka

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DateSetsGamesRes.
10/07/24
M15 Lodz
1-211-16L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oleksii Krutykh

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/10 Francisco Rocha
Challenger Braga · Clay
2-1 18-11 W
23/09 Petros Tsitsipas
M25 Pardubice
0-2 10-13 L
19/09 Melios Efstathiou
Davis Cup
2-1 13-12 W
07/09 Massimo Giunta
Challenger Genoa · Clay
1-2 14-17 L
06/09 Stefan Popovic
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
25/08 Matias Soto
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
24/08 Federico Iannaccone
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
23/08 Kasra Rahmani
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
20/08 Chun Hsin Tseng
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
19/08 Nick Hardt
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Filip Pieczonka

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/10 Adrian Oetzbach
Challenger Braga · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
17/09 Marco Trungelliti
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
1-2 16-19 L
15/09 Tiago Pereira
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
2-1 18-16 W
14/09 Nikita Mashtakov
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
13/09 Carlos Sanchez Jover
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
29/08 Michael Savano
M25 Poznan
1-2 13-15 L
28/08 Gerard Campana Lee
M25 Poznan
2-0 13-7 W
27/08 Oleg Prihodko
M25 Poznan
2-1 13-14 W
25/08 Alan Wazny
M25 Poznan
2-0 12-7 W
04/08 Harold Mayot
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oleksii Krutykh vs Filip Pieczonka?

Our model gives 50% to Oleksii Krutykh, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.