Tennis · Challenger Braga · 05/10, 11:00

Prediction: Olle Wallin vs Tiago Cacao

Team pages: Olle Wallin · Tiago Cacao

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Olle Wallin Tiago Cacao
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Olle Wallin 2-8 (W-L)
LLLWWLLLLL
Tiago Cacao 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Olle Wallin 1520 · Tiago Cacao 1527
Olle WallinTiago Cacao
Our model49%51%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Olle WallinTiago Cacao
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 63% (8) 100% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.21.4-0.9
Games (G-P)12.3-11.812.9-10.3
Aces4.81.6
Double faults1.83.5
1st serve %71.2%69.7%
Break %39.5%57.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Olle Wallin

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/10 Pedro Rodenas
Challenger Braga · Clay
2-1 14-13 W
29/09 Matthew William Donald
Challenger Bari · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
20/09 Chun Hsin Tseng
Davis Cup
0-2 5-12 L
19/09 Yu Hsiou Hsu
Davis Cup
2-1 16-13 W
08/09 Zdenek Kolar
Challenger Tulln · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
07/09 Norbert Gombos
Challenger Tulln · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
06/09 Matthias Ujvary
Challenger Tulln · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
01/09 Johan Nikles
Challenger Como · Clay
1-2 14-15 L
31/08 Andrea Colombo
Challenger Como · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
30/08 Niccolo Catini
Challenger Como · Clay
2-1 16-9 W

Tiago Cacao

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/10 Milos Karol
Challenger Braga · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
27/09 Anton Matusevich
Challenger Porto · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
22/09 Robin Bertrand
M25 Setubal
0-2 12-14 L
19/09 Patrick Schoen
M25 Sintra
0-2 10-14 L
18/09 Alec Deckers
M25 Sintra
2-1 18-11 W
17/09 Tiago Torres
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-8 W
16/09 Benjamin Thomas George
M25 Sintra
2-0 13-6 W
11/09 Fausto Tabacco
M25 Sintra
1-2 14-17 L
10/09 Oscar Weightman
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-2 W
08/09 Adrien Burdet
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Olle Wallin vs Tiago Cacao?

Our model gives 58% to Olle Wallin, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.