Tennis · Challenger Braga · 05/10, 11:00

Prediction: Patrick Schoen vs Filip Misolic

Team pages: Patrick Schoen · Filip Misolic

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Patrick Schoen Filip Misolic
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Patrick Schoen 9-1 (W-L)
WWLWWWWWWW
Filip Misolic 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Patrick Schoen 1657 · Filip Misolic 1480
Patrick SchoenFilip Misolic
Our model73%27%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patrick Schoen (rating 1657 vs 1480).
  • Patrick Schoen is in better form: 100% recent wins.
  • Note: Filip Misolic makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Patrick SchoenFilip Misolic
Win %100%30%
Win % · Clay 100% (1) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)2-0.20.9-1.6
Games (G-P)13.1-7.511.4-12.7
Aces4.32.6
Double faults1.74.4
1st serve %75%66.3%
Break %54.5%43.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Patrick Schoen

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/10 Alberto Barroso Campos
Challenger Braga · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
20/09 Fausto Tabacco
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-4 W
19/09 Tiago Cacao
M25 Sintra
2-0 14-10 W
18/09 Robin Bertrand
M25 Sintra
2-1 14-12 W
17/09 Salvador Monteiro
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-3 W
16/09 Guilherme Valdoleiros
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-3 W
13/09 Goncalo Marques
M25 Sintra
2-0 13-10 W
12/09 Jack Anthrop
M25 Sintra
2-1 17-15 W
11/09 Miguel Semedo
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-6 W
10/09 Benjamin Thomas George
M25 Sintra
2-0 13-8 W

Filip Misolic

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/10 Tiago Esculcas
Challenger Braga · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
21/09 Sebastian Gima
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
20/09 Imanol Lopez Morillo
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
13/09 Matyas Cerny
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
1-2 15-17 L
10/09 Mika Brunold
Challenger Tulln · Clay
1-2 10-18 L
08/09 Henri Squire
Challenger Tulln · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
01/09 Francisco Cerundolo
US Open · Hard
0-3 12-19 L
27/01 Lorenzo Giustino
Challenger Manama · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
19/01 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Australian Open · Hard
0-3 8-18 L
12/01 Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Adelaide · Hard
0-2 8-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Patrick Schoen vs Filip Misolic?

Our model gives 53% to Patrick Schoen, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.