Tennis · Challenger Wuning · 05/10, 05:30
Prediction: Ryuki Matsuda vs Yuta Kikuchi
Team pages: Ryuki Matsuda · Yuta Kikuchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryuki Matsuda
Yuta Kikuchi
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ryuki Matsuda
7-3 (W-L)
Yuta Kikuchi
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ryuki Matsuda
0–1
Yuta Kikuchi
(1 last)
- 29 Mar0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryuki Matsuda 1540 · Yuta Kikuchi 1479
| Ryuki Matsuda | Yuta Kikuchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryuki Matsuda (rating 1540 vs 1479).
- Ryuki Matsuda is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ryuki Matsuda 0–1 Yuta Kikuchi (1).
Statistics
| Ryuki Matsuda | Yuta Kikuchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.1 | 8.1-11.5 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 32% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
H2H · Ryuki Matsuda 0 – 1 Yuta Kikuchi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryuki Matsuda 0–1 Yuta Kikuchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Challenger Miyazaki | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryuki Matsuda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Sergey Betov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/10 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Reiya Komagata M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Zichen Shao M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Moise Kouame Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Taiyo Yamanaka Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Minh Phat Nguyen Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Yu Tanaka M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Naoki Nakagawa M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Yuta Kikuchi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Kousuke Ogura Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Sena Okabe M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Qian Sun M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 15/05 | Uisung Park M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryuki Matsuda vs Yuta Kikuchi?
Our model gives 63% to Ryuki Matsuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.