Tennis · Challenger Braga · 05/10, 11:00
Prediction: Johan Nikles vs Vladyslav Orlov
Team pages: Johan Nikles · Vladyslav Orlov
Prediction summary
Winner
Johan Nikles
Vladyslav Orlov
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Johan Nikles
8-2 (W-L)
Vladyslav Orlov
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Johan Nikles
1–0
Vladyslav Orlov
(1 last)
- 01 Sept2-1 18-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Johan Nikles 1581 · Vladyslav Orlov 1532
| Johan Nikles | Vladyslav Orlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Johan Nikles (rating 1581 vs 1532).
- Head-to-head: Johan Nikles 1–0 Vladyslav Orlov (1).
Statistics
| Johan Nikles | Vladyslav Orlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.3 | 11.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Johan Nikles 1 – 0 Vladyslav Orlov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Johan Nikles 1–0 Vladyslav Orlov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/24 Challenger Genoa | 2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johan Nikles
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Martim Bernardo Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Laslo Djere Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Matyas Cerny Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/09 | Matej Dodig Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Olle Wallin Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 31/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 30/08 | Kasra Rahmani Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Vladyslav Orlov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Guilherme Valdoleiros Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/09 | Michael Geerts Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/09 | David Eichenseher M25 Pozzuoli |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 28/08 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Poznan |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Borys Zgola M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Dominik Kellovsky M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Wojciech Marek M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Niklas Guttau M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Jakub Kusy M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johan Nikles vs Vladyslav Orlov?
Our model gives 62% to Johan Nikles, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.