Tennis · Challenger Braga · 07/10, 11:00
Prediction: Dali Blanch vs Max Alcala Gurri
Team pages: Dali Blanch · Max Alcala Gurri
Prediction summary
Winner
Dali Blanch
Max Alcala Gurri
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dali Blanch
5-5 (W-L)
Max Alcala Gurri
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dali Blanch
1–0
Max Alcala Gurri
(1 last)
- 09 Jun2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dali Blanch 1491 · Max Alcala Gurri 1598
| Dali Blanch | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Alcala Gurri (rating 1491 vs 1598).
- Dali Blanch dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 54.6% break avg.
- Max Alcala Gurri is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Dali Blanch 1–0 Max Alcala Gurri (1).
- Note: Dali Blanch makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Dali Blanch | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.3 | 11.6-9.2 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Dali Blanch 1 – 0 Max Alcala Gurri (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dali Blanch 1–0 Max Alcala Gurri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/26 Challenger Lyon | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dali Blanch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 23/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/09 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Jan Chlodnicki Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 17/08 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 02/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Max Alcala Gurri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 10/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Zsombor Piros US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dali Blanch vs Max Alcala Gurri?
Our model gives 68% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.