Tennis · Challenger Braga · 07/10, 11:00
Prediction: Sumit Nagal vs Luka Mikrut
Team pages: Sumit Nagal · Luka Mikrut
Prediction summary
Winner
Sumit Nagal
Luka Mikrut
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sumit Nagal
4-6 (W-L)
Luka Mikrut
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sumit Nagal
0–1
Luka Mikrut
(1 last)
- 03 Oct1-2 14-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sumit Nagal 1468 · Luka Mikrut 1599
| Sumit Nagal | Luka Mikrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luka Mikrut (rating 1468 vs 1599).
- Luka Mikrut is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sumit Nagal 0–1 Luka Mikrut (1).
Statistics
| Sumit Nagal | Luka Mikrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-11 | 12.2-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.1% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 30% | 27.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Sumit Nagal 0 – 1 Luka Mikrut (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sumit Nagal 0–1 Luka Mikrut
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/25 Challenger Braga | 1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sumit Nagal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Yibing Wu Asian Games |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Seong Chan Hong Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Soonwoo Kwon Davis Cup |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Hyeon Chung Davis Cup |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Max Houkes Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Luka Mikrut
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Nishesh Basavareddy US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sumit Nagal vs Luka Mikrut?
Our model gives 71% to Luka Mikrut, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.