Tennis · Challenger Braga · 05/10, 14:30
Prediction: Vilius Gaubas vs Joao Domingues
Team pages: Vilius Gaubas · Joao Domingues
Prediction summary
Winner
Vilius Gaubas
Joao Domingues
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Vilius Gaubas
7-3 (W-L)
Joao Domingues
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vilius Gaubas 1499 · Joao Domingues 1446
| Vilius Gaubas | Joao Domingues | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vilius Gaubas (rating 1499 vs 1446).
Statistics
| Vilius Gaubas | Joao Domingues | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.2 | 11.6-13.6 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vilius Gaubas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Hamad Medjedovic Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 28/08 | Harry Wendelken US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 26/08 | Marco Cecchinato US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Kilian Feldbausch US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Max Houkes Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 01/08 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Joao Domingues
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Michael Geerts Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/09 | Julien Penzlin M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/07 | Goncalo Marques M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Porto |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Porto |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vilius Gaubas vs Joao Domingues?
Our model gives 70% to Vilius Gaubas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.