Tennis · Challenger Braga · 04/10, 12:30
Prediction: Tiago Cacao vs Milos Karol
Team pages: Tiago Cacao
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiago Cacao
Milos Karol
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tiago Cacao
7-3 (W-L)
Milos Karol
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiago Cacao 1511 · Milos Karol 1523
| Tiago Cacao | Milos Karol | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Milos Karol makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Tiago Cacao | Milos Karol | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11 | 13.7-12.2 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 12.8 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 80.3% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiago Cacao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 22/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Patrick Schoen M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Tiago Torres M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/09 | Oscar Weightman M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Adrien Burdet M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Milos Karol
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 04/06 | Alex Molcan Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Marek Gengel Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 31/05 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Andrej Martin Challenger Kosice · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/05 | Jay Clarke Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiago Cacao vs Milos Karol?
Our model gives 57% to Milos Karol, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.