Tennis · Challenger Braga · 04/10, 16:30
Prediction: Filip Pieczonka vs Adrian Oetzbach
Team pages: Filip Pieczonka · Adrian Oetzbach
Prediction summary
Winner
Filip Pieczonka
Adrian Oetzbach
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Filip Pieczonka
6-4 (W-L)
Adrian Oetzbach
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filip Pieczonka 1529 · Adrian Oetzbach 1503
| Filip Pieczonka | Adrian Oetzbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Filip Pieczonka makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Filip Pieczonka | Adrian Oetzbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.5 | 10-9 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 33.6% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filip Pieczonka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 14/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/08 | Michael Savano M25 Poznan |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/08 | Gerard Campana Lee M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Alan Wazny M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Harold Mayot Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Adrian Oetzbach
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Riccardo Trione Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/09 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Eero Vasa M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/09 | Bruno Fernandez M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Lucio Ratti M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Marc Majdandzic M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Marcel Hornung M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Tim Handel M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filip Pieczonka vs Adrian Oetzbach?
Our model gives 61% to Filip Pieczonka, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.