Tennis · Challenger Braga · 04/10, 15:30
Prediction: Oleksii Krutykh vs Francisco Rocha
Team pages: Oleksii Krutykh · Francisco Rocha
Prediction summary
Winner
Oleksii Krutykh
Francisco Rocha
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksii Krutykh
7-3 (W-L)
Francisco Rocha
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oleksii Krutykh 1533 · Francisco Rocha 1446
| Oleksii Krutykh | Francisco Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oleksii Krutykh (rating 1533 vs 1446).
- Oleksii Krutykh is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Oleksii Krutykh | Francisco Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.9 | 8.6-10.9 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 40.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oleksii Krutykh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Pardubice |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Melios Efstathiou Davis Cup |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/09 | Stefan Popovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Matias Soto Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Kasra Rahmani Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Nick Hardt Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Francisco Rocha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Lui Maxted Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Salvador Monteiro M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Julien Penzlin M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Tiago Cacao M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oleksii Krutykh vs Francisco Rocha?
Our model gives 72% to Oleksii Krutykh, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.