Tennis · Challenger Braga · 04/10, 14:00
Prediction: Hugo Maia vs Javier Barranco Cosano
Team pages: Hugo Maia · Javier Barranco Cosano
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Maia
Javier Barranco Cosano
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Maia
3-7 (W-L)
Javier Barranco Cosano
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Maia 1485 · Javier Barranco Cosano 1521
| Hugo Maia | Javier Barranco Cosano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Javier Barranco Cosano makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Hugo Maia | Javier Barranco Cosano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.9 | 11.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 0 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 55.5% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Maia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Loule · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 29/04 | Alexandre Reco M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Diogo Marques M15 Sanxenxo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 22/04 | Guillaume Dalmasso M15 Sanxenxo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/04 | Guilherme Valdoleiros M15 Sanxenxo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 13/04 | Guilherme Valdoleiros M15 Ceuta · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/04 | Miguel Semedo UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/04 | Guilherme Valdoleiros UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/04 | Oscar Brown UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/04 | Tiago Cacao UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Javier Barranco Cosano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Oriol Font M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/09 | Elia Ruffino Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Martin Krumich Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 17/08 | Andrej Martin Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 16/08 | Matyas Kozlovsky Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Reda Bennani M25 Denia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Michiel de Krom M25 Denia |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Maia vs Javier Barranco Cosano?
Our model gives 75% to Javier Barranco Cosano, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.