Tennis · M25 Darwin · 04/10, 08:00
Prediction: Casey Hoole vs Hayden Jones
Team pages: Casey Hoole · Hayden Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Casey Hoole
Hayden Jones
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Casey Hoole
6-4 (W-L)
Hayden Jones
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Casey Hoole 1585 · Hayden Jones 1608
| Casey Hoole | Hayden Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Casey Hoole dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 49.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Casey Hoole | Hayden Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.6 | 1.9-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-10.1 | 12.6-7.7 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 74.8% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Casey Hoole
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Colin Sinclair M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Mustafa Ege Sik M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 29/09 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 20/09 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/09 | Alex Bulte UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Wihan Van Der Merwe UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Daniel Howard UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Andre Filep UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Hayden Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Derek Pham M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Scott Jones M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Arjun Mehrotra M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 30/09 | Harrison Satara M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Bali |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Raghav Jaisinghani M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/09 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Bali |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Blake Ellis M15 Bali |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 28/08 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Derek Pham UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Casey Hoole vs Hayden Jones?
Our model gives 54% to Hayden Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.