Tennis · Challenger Wuning · 04/10, 08:30
Prediction: Yuta Kikuchi vs Kousuke Ogura
Team pages: Yuta Kikuchi · Kousuke Ogura
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuta Kikuchi
Kousuke Ogura
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Yuta Kikuchi
5-5 (W-L)
Kousuke Ogura
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yuta Kikuchi
0–1
Kousuke Ogura
(1 last)
- 11 Aug1-2 11-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuta Kikuchi 1460 · Kousuke Ogura 1513
| Yuta Kikuchi | Kousuke Ogura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kousuke Ogura (rating 1460 vs 1513).
- Head-to-head: Yuta Kikuchi 0–1 Kousuke Ogura (1).
Statistics
| Yuta Kikuchi | Kousuke Ogura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-11 | 11.3-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Yuta Kikuchi 0 – 1 Kousuke Ogura (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yuta Kikuchi 0–1 Kousuke Ogura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/26 M15 Tianjin | 1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuta Kikuchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Sena Okabe M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Qian Sun M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 15/05 | Uisung Park M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Weiwen Pan M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
Kousuke Ogura
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Minghui Zhang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/09 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Daisuke Sumizawa Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/09 | Seong Chan Hong M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Robin Catry M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Yanki Erel M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Omar Jasika M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Tomohiro Masabayashi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuta Kikuchi vs Kousuke Ogura?
Our model gives 58% to Kousuke Ogura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.