Tennis · Challenger Wuning · 05/10, 07:00
Prediction: Sergey Fomin vs Timofei Derepasko
Team pages: Sergey Fomin · Timofei Derepasko
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergey Fomin
Timofei Derepasko
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sergey Fomin
6-4 (W-L)
Timofei Derepasko
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sergey Fomin
1–0
Timofei Derepasko
(1 last)
- 06 Nov2-1 15-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergey Fomin 1460 · Timofei Derepasko 1496
| Sergey Fomin | Timofei Derepasko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Sergey Fomin 1–0 Timofei Derepasko (1).
- Note: Sergey Fomin makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Sergey Fomin | Timofei Derepasko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.5 | 10.5-9.9 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 3 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.9% | 63% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Sergey Fomin 1 – 0 Timofei Derepasko (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sergey Fomin 1–0 Timofei Derepasko
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/25 ITF M15 Manama | 2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergey Fomin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Xirui Han M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 15/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Alberto Lim Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Timofei Derepasko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Matic Dimic M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 15/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Taisei Ichikawa Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Stefan Storch Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Sam Ryan Ziegann Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/09 | Taiyo Yamanaka Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Minhthien Nguyen Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/08 | Dimitar Kisimov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergey Fomin vs Timofei Derepasko?
Our model gives 56% to Sergey Fomin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.