Tennis · Challenger Wuning · 07/10, 04:00
Prediction: Evan Zhu vs Koki Matsuda
Team pages: Evan Zhu · Koki Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Evan Zhu
Koki Matsuda
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Evan Zhu
7-3 (W-L)
Koki Matsuda
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Evan Zhu 1535 · Koki Matsuda 1455
| Evan Zhu | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Evan Zhu (rating 1535 vs 1455).
Statistics
| Evan Zhu | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.9 | 10.2-13.2 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 55.9% | 25.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Alex Bolt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Zhiheng Xia Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/09 | Henry Searle Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/09 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Aleksi Lofman Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Michael Zheng Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Koki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Jake Delaney Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 31/08 | Fanming Meng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 30/08 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 18/08 | Chen Hui Ho M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Evan Zhu vs Koki Matsuda?
Our model gives 64% to Evan Zhu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.