Tennis · Challenger Wuning · 07/10, 04:00

Prediction: Masamichi Imamura vs Kaichi Uchida

Team pages: Masamichi Imamura · Kaichi Uchida

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Masamichi Imamura Kaichi Uchida
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Masamichi Imamura 2-8 (W-L)
LWWLLLLLLL
Kaichi Uchida 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLLWLWL
Head-to-head
Masamichi Imamura 0–2 Kaichi Uchida (2 last)
  • 11 Oct1-2 14-16L
  • 23 Jun1-2 12-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Masamichi Imamura 1431 · Kaichi Uchida 1376
Masamichi ImamuraKaichi Uchida
Our model58%42%
Market61%39%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Masamichi Imamura (rating 1431 vs 1376).
  • Masamichi Imamura is in better form: 30% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Masamichi Imamura 0–2 Kaichi Uchida (2).

Statistics

Masamichi ImamuraKaichi Uchida
Win %30%0%
Win % · Hard 33% (9) 0% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.50.2-2
Games (G-P)8.4-10.37-12.8
Aces2.35.2
Double faults2.33.5
1st serve %69.3%65.3%
Break %27.8%29.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

H2H · Masamichi Imamura 0 – 2 Kaichi Uchida (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Masamichi Imamura 0–2 Kaichi Uchida

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DateSetsGamesRes.
11/10/25
ITF M25 Perth
1-214-16L
23/06/24
ITF M25 Changwon
1-212-17L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Masamichi Imamura

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Petr Bar Biryukov
Challenger Jingshan · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
22/09 Rio Noguchi
ATP Hangzhou · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
14/09 Enzo Aguiard
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
08/09 Yunseong Chung
M25 Sapporo
1-2 12-15 L
01/09 Bernard Tomic
Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
22/08 Yu Hsiou Hsu
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
21/08 Hyeon Chung
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
2-1 10-6 W
21/08 Noritaka Koizumi
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
19/08 Shinji Hazawa
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
14/08 Sergey Fomin
Challenger Astana · Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Kaichi Uchida

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Federico Cina
ATP Chengdu · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
14/09 Rio Noguchi
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
07/09 Linang Xiao
Challenger Shanghai · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
31/08 Hanyi Liu
Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
26/08 Tianhui Zhang
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
14/07 Alexis Galarneau
Challenger Granby · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
08/07 Daniel Milavsky
Challenger Newport · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
30/06 Jack Kennedy
Challenger Cary · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
22/06 Bernard Tomic
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
14/06 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Dublin · Grass
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Masamichi Imamura vs Kaichi Uchida?

Our model gives 59% to Masamichi Imamura, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.