Tennis · Challenger Wuning · 07/10, 04:00
Prediction: Beibit Zhukayev vs Yaroslav Demin
Team pages: Beibit Zhukayev · Yaroslav Demin
Prediction summary
Winner
Beibit Zhukayev
Yaroslav Demin
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Beibit Zhukayev
5-5 (W-L)
Yaroslav Demin
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Beibit Zhukayev 1507 · Yaroslav Demin 1472
| Beibit Zhukayev | Yaroslav Demin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Beibit Zhukayev | Yaroslav Demin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.3 | 10.6-10.8 |
| Aces | 10.1 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 34% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Beibit Zhukayev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Amir Omarkhanov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Yusuke Takahashi Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 21/04 | Liam Broady Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/04 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/04 | Sho Shimabukuro Challenger Busan · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 14/04 | Uisung Park Challenger Busan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/04 | James Duckworth Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/04 | Corentin Denolly Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Yaroslav Demin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Jack Loge M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Niklas Schell M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Yassine Smiej M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Pablo Aunion M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/08 | Carles Hernandez M25 Santander |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 02/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Beibit Zhukayev vs Yaroslav Demin?
Our model gives 56% to Beibit Zhukayev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.