Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 04/10, 05:00
Prediction: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris
Team pages: Mattia Bellucci · Lloyd Harris
Prediction summary
Winner
Mattia Bellucci
Lloyd Harris
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mattia Bellucci
8-2 (W-L)
Lloyd Harris
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mattia Bellucci
1–0
Lloyd Harris
(1 last)
- 22 May2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mattia Bellucci 1570 · Lloyd Harris 1606
| Mattia Bellucci | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Lloyd Harris dominates on serve: 12.9 aces and 43.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Mattia Bellucci 1–0 Lloyd Harris (1).
Statistics
| Mattia Bellucci | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9 | 13.3-9.7 |
| Aces | 7.8 | 12.9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 78.3% | 81.3% |
| Break % | 34.7% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Mattia Bellucci 1 – 0 Lloyd Harris (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mattia Bellucci 1–0 Lloyd Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/24 French Open | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mattia Bellucci
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Yanki Erel Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/10 | Adam Walton Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/09 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Taylor Fritz US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 2-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Zsombor Piros US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/08 | Martin Landaluce ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Lloyd Harris
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Alexis Galarneau ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Kenta Miyoshi ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris?
Our model gives 54% to Lloyd Harris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.