Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 01/10, 04:00
Prediction: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina
Team pages: Elias Ymer · Federico Cina
Prediction summary
Winner
Elias Ymer
Federico Cina
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Elias Ymer
4-6 (W-L)
Federico Cina
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elias Ymer
0–1
Federico Cina
(1 last)
- 03 Aug0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elias Ymer 1474 · Federico Cina 1510
| Elias Ymer | Federico Cina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Elias Ymer dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 40.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Elias Ymer 0–1 Federico Cina (1).
Statistics
| Elias Ymer | Federico Cina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.1 | 10.8-11.4 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 36.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Elias Ymer 0 – 1 Federico Cina (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elias Ymer 0–1 Federico Cina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/26 Challenger Lexington | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elias Ymer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Alexis Galarneau ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/09 | Semen Pankin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Cristian Garin US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Franco Roncadelli US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Paul Jubb Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Federico Cina Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Federico Cina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | James McCabe Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Alexandre Muller ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Kaichi Uchida ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | James Trotter Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Alex Michelsen US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 5-18 | L |
| 28/08 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/08 | Hugo Dellien US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 13/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina?
Our model gives 64% to Federico Cina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.