Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 02/10, 07:00
Prediction: Lloyd Harris vs Andre Ilagan
Team pages: Lloyd Harris · Andre Ilagan
Prediction summary
Winner
Lloyd Harris
Andre Ilagan
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lloyd Harris
8-2 (W-L)
Andre Ilagan
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lloyd Harris
1–0
Andre Ilagan
(1 last)
- 16 Aug2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lloyd Harris 1610 · Andre Ilagan 1524
| Lloyd Harris | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lloyd Harris (rating 1610 vs 1524).
- Lloyd Harris dominates on serve: 13.3 aces and 43.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Lloyd Harris 1–0 Andre Ilagan (1).
Statistics
| Lloyd Harris | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-11.6 | 12.2-11.8 |
| Aces | 13.3 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 81.8% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 29.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
H2H · Lloyd Harris 1 – 0 Andre Ilagan (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lloyd Harris 1–0 Andre Ilagan
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/26 Challenger Brownsburg | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lloyd Harris
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Alexis Galarneau ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Kenta Miyoshi ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 02/09 | Stefanos Tsitsipas US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 20-25 | L |
Andre Ilagan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/09 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 26/08 | Hugo Gaston US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Tristan Boyer US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 16/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lloyd Harris vs Andre Ilagan?
Our model gives 70% to Lloyd Harris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.