Tennis · M25 Darwin · 03/10, 07:30
Prediction: Herman Hoeyeraal vs Casey Hoole
Team pages: Herman Hoeyeraal · Casey Hoole
Prediction summary
Winner
Herman Hoeyeraal
Casey Hoole
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Herman Hoeyeraal
6-4 (W-L)
Casey Hoole
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Herman Hoeyeraal 1511 · Casey Hoole 1557
| Herman Hoeyeraal | Casey Hoole | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Casey Hoole (rating 1511 vs 1557).
- Casey Hoole dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 42.4% break avg.
- Casey Hoole is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Herman Hoeyeraal makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Herman Hoeyeraal | Casey Hoole | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-12.8 | 13.3-10 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.5% | 72% |
| Break % | 32.2% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Herman Hoeyeraal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Philip Sekulic M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 01/10 | Reece Falck M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Ethan Cook M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Filip Drab M15 Pecs |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Jonathan Mridha M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Didrik Liljekvist M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Didrik Liljekvist M15 Malmo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Eric Vanshelboim M15 Xativa |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Yeray Andres Pastor M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Ludvig Fredrik Hede M25 Denia |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Casey Hoole
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Colin Sinclair M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Mustafa Ege Sik M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 29/09 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 20/09 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/09 | Alex Bulte UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Wihan Van Der Merwe UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Daniel Howard UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Andre Filep UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Alex Bulte UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Herman Hoeyeraal vs Casey Hoole?
Our model gives 59% to Casey Hoole, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

