Tennis · M25 Darwin · 03/10, 07:30

Prediction: Herman Hoeyeraal vs Casey Hoole

Team pages: Herman Hoeyeraal · Casey Hoole

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Herman Hoeyeraal Casey Hoole
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Herman Hoeyeraal 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWLLLWW
Casey Hoole 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWWWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Herman Hoeyeraal 1511 · Casey Hoole 1557
Herman HoeyeraalCasey Hoole
Our model43%57%
Market39%61%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Casey Hoole (rating 1511 vs 1557).
  • Casey Hoole dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 42.4% break avg.
  • Casey Hoole is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Herman Hoeyeraal makes many double faults (5.7/match).

Statistics

Herman HoeyeraalCasey Hoole
Win %50%80%
Win % · Hard – 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.21.7-0.7
Games (G-P)12.1-12.813.3-10
Aces7.46.4
Double faults5.70.8
1st serve %73.5%72%
Break %32.2%42.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 23

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Herman Hoeyeraal

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/10 Philip Sekulic
M25 Darwin
2-1 14-15 W
01/10 Reece Falck
M25 Darwin
2-0 12-7 W
29/09 Ethan Cook
M25 Darwin
2-1 19-15 W
26/08 Filip Drab
M15 Pecs
0-2 12-14 L
20/08 Jonathan Mridha
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
19/08 Didrik Liljekvist
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
2-0 12-9 W
11/08 Didrik Liljekvist
M15 Malmo
0-2 6-12 L
31/07 Eric Vanshelboim
M15 Xativa
1-2 14-18 L
29/07 Yeray Andres Pastor
M15 Xativa
2-0 13-9 W
22/07 Ludvig Fredrik Hede
M25 Denia
1-2 11-16 L

Casey Hoole

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/10 Colin Sinclair
M25 Darwin
2-1 16-11 W
01/10 Mustafa Ege Sik
M25 Darwin
2-1 17-16 W
29/09 Moerani Bouzige
M25 Darwin
2-1 18-15 W
20/09 Scott Jones
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
19/09 Alex Bulte
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
18/09 Wihan Van Der Merwe
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
16/09 Daniel Howard
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
15/09 Elijah Cham
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
14/09 Andre Filep
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
12/09 Alex Bulte
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
0-2 8-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Herman Hoeyeraal vs Casey Hoole?

Our model gives 59% to Casey Hoole, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.