Tennis · M25 Darwin · 02/10, 07:30
Prediction: Philip Sekulic vs Herman Hoeyeraal
Team pages: Philip Sekulic · Herman Hoeyeraal
Prediction summary
Winner
Philip Sekulic
Herman Hoeyeraal
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Philip Sekulic
5-5 (W-L)
Herman Hoeyeraal
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Philip Sekulic 1509 · Herman Hoeyeraal 1483
| Philip Sekulic | Herman Hoeyeraal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Herman Hoeyeraal makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Philip Sekulic | Herman Hoeyeraal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.1 | 11.5-12.6 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 51% | 26.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Philip Sekulic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Zak Talic M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Stefan Storch M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 15/09 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 03/09 | Sora Fukuda M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Herman Hoeyeraal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Reece Falck M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Ethan Cook M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Filip Drab M15 Pecs |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Jonathan Mridha M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Didrik Liljekvist M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Didrik Liljekvist M15 Malmo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Eric Vanshelboim M15 Xativa |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Yeray Andres Pastor M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Ludvig Fredrik Hede M25 Denia |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Patrick Brady Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Philip Sekulic vs Herman Hoeyeraal?
Our model gives 69% to Philip Sekulic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.