Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 02/10, 03:10
Prediction: Hunter Heck vs Natsuki Yamamoto
Team pages: Hunter Heck · Natsuki Yamamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Hunter Heck
Natsuki Yamamoto
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Hunter Heck
8-2 (W-L)
Natsuki Yamamoto
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hunter Heck 1584 · Natsuki Yamamoto 1587
| Hunter Heck | Natsuki Yamamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Natsuki Yamamoto makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Hunter Heck | Natsuki Yamamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-7.5 | 12.1-9.3 |
| Aces | 5 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 0 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 80% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 50% | 33% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hunter Heck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 18/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/09 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Ethan Cook Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Aditya Vishal Balsekar Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Nam Nguyen Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Natsuki Yamamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Seiya Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Raffael Gasanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 24/09 | Takumi Katsuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Taki Adachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Chen-Yu Lu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hunter Heck vs Natsuki Yamamoto?
Our model gives 71% to Hunter Heck, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.