Tennis · M25 Darwin · 01/10, 09:00
Prediction: Lachlan Vickery vs Jake Delaney
Team pages: Lachlan Vickery · Jake Delaney
Prediction summary
Winner
Lachlan Vickery
Jake Delaney
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lachlan Vickery
6-4 (W-L)
Jake Delaney
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lachlan Vickery 1517 · Jake Delaney 1469
| Lachlan Vickery | Jake Delaney | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lachlan Vickery (rating 1517 vs 1469).
Statistics
| Lachlan Vickery | Jake Delaney | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.8 | 10.3-11.7 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 11.5 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 55.9% | 35.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lachlan Vickery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Jack Bruce-Smith M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Harry Roberts M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Qian Sun M25 Guiyang |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 09/09 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Jilong Huang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Lin Hao-Yu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 04/06 | Jesse Delaney M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Ryder Jackson M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/06 | Ryoma Cogan M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Jake Delaney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 01/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Hyeon Chung M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Jeremy Zhang M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lachlan Vickery vs Jake Delaney?
Our model gives 68% to Jake Delaney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.