Tennis · M25 Darwin · 01/10, 07:30
Prediction: Jeremy Beale vs Derek Pham
Team pages: Jeremy Beale · Derek Pham
Prediction summary
Winner
Jeremy Beale
Derek Pham
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jeremy Beale
7-3 (W-L)
Derek Pham
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jeremy Beale
0–1
Derek Pham
(1 last)
- 26 Feb0-2 4-11L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jeremy Beale 1540 · Derek Pham 1526
| Jeremy Beale | Derek Pham | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jeremy Beale 0–1 Derek Pham (1).
Statistics
| Jeremy Beale | Derek Pham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.1 | 12.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 56% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Jeremy Beale 0 – 1 Derek Pham (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeremy Beale 0–1 Derek Pham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/21 UTR Pro Tennis Series Brisbane | 0-2 | 4-11 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeremy Beale
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/09 | David Qariaqus M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/09 | Arjun Mehrotra UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Haruto Ishikawa UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Oscar Andrews UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Jacob Cairncross UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Shaheed Alam UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Cody Atkinson UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Jonas Hahn UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Derek Pham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Joshua Charlton M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Ashwin Ryan Sharma M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Hayden Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Clint Charles UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Chase Ferguson M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Ymerali Ibraimi M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeremy Beale vs Derek Pham?
Our model gives 55% to Jeremy Beale, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.