Tennis · M25 Darwin · 01/10, 10:30
Prediction: Hayden Jones vs Arjun Mehrotra
Team pages: Hayden Jones · Arjun Mehrotra
Prediction summary
Winner
Hayden Jones
Arjun Mehrotra
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Hayden Jones
7-3 (W-L)
Arjun Mehrotra
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hayden Jones 1578 · Arjun Mehrotra 1529
| Hayden Jones | Arjun Mehrotra | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hayden Jones (rating 1578 vs 1529).
Statistics
| Hayden Jones | Arjun Mehrotra | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9 | 11.3-9.7 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hayden Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Harrison Satara M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Bali |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Raghav Jaisinghani M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/09 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Bali |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Blake Ellis M15 Bali |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 28/08 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Derek Pham UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Oscar Andrews UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Jacob Cairncross UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/08 | Omar Jasika UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Arjun Mehrotra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Blake Ellis M25 Darwin |
1-1 | 10-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Alex Bulte M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Jerome Estephan UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 17/09 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Haruto Ishikawa UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Jeremy Beale UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Bali |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 09/09 | Ha Minh Duc Vu M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/09 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Bali |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hayden Jones vs Arjun Mehrotra?
Our model gives 65% to Hayden Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.