Tennis · M25 Darwin · 01/10, 09:00

Prediction: Chen Dong vs Colin Sinclair

Team pages: Chen Dong · Colin Sinclair

Prediction summary
Winner
40% 60%
Chen Dong Colin Sinclair
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Chen Dong 6-4 (W-L)
WLLLWWLWWW
Colin Sinclair 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLWLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chen Dong 1485 · Colin Sinclair 1499
Chen DongColin Sinclair
Our model48%52%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Chen DongColin Sinclair
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 33% (6) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1-1.31.1-1.4
Games (G-P)9-10.512.3-13.1
Aces1.49.4
Double faults12
1st serve %60.8%76.6%
Break %38.6%28.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chen Dong

WLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Makoto Ochi
M25 Darwin
2-0 12-6 W
10/09 Pawit Sornlaksup
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
1-2 12-18 L
09/09 Dev Javia
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
03/09 Manish Sureshkumar
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
02/09 Adrian Arcon
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
28/07 Tai Leonard Sach
M15 Brisbane
2-1 15-12 W
21/07 Shinji Hazawa
M15 Brisbane
0-2 3-12 L
15/07 Benjamin O'Connell
M25 Brisbane
0-2 10-13 L
14/04 Emile Hudd
M15 Singapore · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
24/03 Sergey Petrov
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 8-12 L

Colin Sinclair

LWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Stefan Vujic
M25 Darwin
2-1 18-14 W
23/09 Zijiang Yang
M25 Yinchuan
0-2 9-13 L
16/09 Rio Noguchi
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
14/09 Linang Xiao
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-1 14-16 W
09/09 Boxiong Zhang
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
05/09 Qian Sun
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 14-17 L
04/09 Zijiang Yang
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 15-12 W
03/09 Shaoyun Liu
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
02/09 Linang Xiao
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
11/08 Takuya Kumasaka
Challenger Astana · Hard
0-2 8-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chen Dong vs Colin Sinclair?

Our model gives 60% to Colin Sinclair, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.