Tennis · M25 Darwin · 01/10, 02:30

Prediction: Scott Jones vs Shintaro Imai

Team pages: Scott Jones · Shintaro Imai

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Scott Jones Shintaro Imai
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Scott Jones 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWWWWLW
Shintaro Imai 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Scott Jones 1640 · Shintaro Imai 1498
Scott JonesShintaro Imai
Our model69%31%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Scott Jones (rating 1640 vs 1498).
  • Scott Jones is in better form: 100% recent wins.

Statistics

Scott JonesShintaro Imai
Win %100%40%
Win % · Hard 100% (9) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.9-0.21.1-1.2
Games (G-P)12.4-6.110.9-10
Aces54.9
Double faults03.1
1st serve %90%72.8%
Break %67%54.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Scott Jones

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Benjamin O'Connell
M25 Darwin
1-0 6-3 W
20/09 Casey Hoole
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
19/09 Arjun Mehrotra
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
18/09 Zachary Adam-Gedge
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
17/09 Eric Tripathi
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
15/09 Nathan Boniel
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
14/09 Alec Braund
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
13/09 Alex Bulte
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-1 13-11 W
12/09 Jeremy Beale
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
11/09 Matthew Burton
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 13-5 W

Shintaro Imai

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Zane Stevens
M25 Darwin
2-0 12-6 W
11/09 Pawit Sornlaksup
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
10/09 Jordan Hasson
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
09/09 Tanapatt Nirundorn
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
01/09 Yuto Oki
M25 Urayasu
0-2 5-12 L
12/08 Adrian Arcon
M15 Tianjin
1-2 14-15 L
08/08 Shunsuke Mitsui
M15 Astana
1-2 12-16 L
07/08 Dan Brand
M15 Astana
2-0 12-3 W
29/07 Sora Fukuda
M15 Astana
0-2 7-12 L
10/07 Naoki Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 15-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Scott Jones vs Shintaro Imai?

Our model gives 59% to Scott Jones, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.