Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 01/10, 04:00
Prediction: Andre Ilagan vs Marat Sharipov
Team pages: Andre Ilagan · Marat Sharipov
Prediction summary
Winner
Andre Ilagan
Marat Sharipov
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Andre Ilagan
4-6 (W-L)
Marat Sharipov
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Andre Ilagan
0–2
Marat Sharipov
(2 last)
- 21 Apr0-2 7-12L
- 15 Apr0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andre Ilagan 1513 · Marat Sharipov 1628
| Andre Ilagan | Marat Sharipov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marat Sharipov (rating 1513 vs 1628).
- Marat Sharipov dominates on serve: 12 aces and 43.9% break avg.
- Marat Sharipov is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Andre Ilagan 0–2 Marat Sharipov (2).
Statistics
| Andre Ilagan | Marat Sharipov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.9-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.4 | 13.6-8.7 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 12 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 82.4% |
| Break % | 31.6% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Andre Ilagan 0 – 2 Marat Sharipov (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Andre Ilagan 0–2 Marat Sharipov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/25 Challenger Gwangju | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/04/25 Challenger Busan | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andre Ilagan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/09 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 26/08 | Hugo Gaston US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Tristan Boyer US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 16/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 09/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Marat Sharipov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Naoya Honda Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Elias Ymer Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 15/09 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andre Ilagan vs Marat Sharipov?
Our model gives 68% to Marat Sharipov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.