Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 01/10, 05:00
Prediction: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Dane Sweeny
Team pages: Petr Bar Biryukov · Dane Sweeny
Prediction summary
Winner
Petr Bar Biryukov
Dane Sweeny
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Petr Bar Biryukov
5-5 (W-L)
Dane Sweeny
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petr Bar Biryukov 1538 · Dane Sweeny 1453
| Petr Bar Biryukov | Dane Sweeny | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Petr Bar Biryukov (rating 1538 vs 1453).
- Note: Dane Sweeny makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Petr Bar Biryukov | Dane Sweeny | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.2 | 11.9-13.3 |
| Aces | 9.7 | 4 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 64% |
| Break % | 25.2% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petr Bar Biryukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Alexandre Muller ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Andre Ilagan ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 17/09 | Naoya Honda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 01/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Qian Sun M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Dane Sweeny
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Luciano Darderi US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Lorenzo Musetti US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 01/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Andres Martin Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petr Bar Biryukov vs Dane Sweeny?
Our model gives 54% to Dane Sweeny, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.