Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 30/09, 20:00
Prediction: Marika Jones vs Gala Arangio
Team pages: Marika Jones · Gala Arangio
Prediction summary
Winner
Marika Jones
Gala Arangio
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Marika Jones
3-7 (W-L)
Gala Arangio
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marika Jones
2–0
Gala Arangio
(2 last)
- 19 May2-1 17-11W
- 27 Sept2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marika Jones 1438 · Gala Arangio 1432
| Marika Jones | Gala Arangio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Marika Jones 2–0 Gala Arangio (2).
- Note: Marika Jones makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Marika Jones | Gala Arangio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.6 | 0.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.7-11.4 | 8-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 46.8% | 48.2% |
| Break % | 49.5% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
H2H · Marika Jones 2 – 0 Gala Arangio (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marika Jones 2–0 Gala Arangio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/26 UTR Pro Newport Beach Women | 2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 27/09/22 ITF W15 Cancun | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marika Jones
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Norah Davoodi UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/09 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Emily Robertson UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Emma Tutoveanu UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Lucia Donnelly UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Anastasia Grechkina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Sophie Suh W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Sofia Thorne W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Jana Stojanova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Gala Arangio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Catherine Walker UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Ariana Morris UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Mia Soso UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Kiana Smith UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Isabelle Nguyen UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Charlotte Kim UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/06 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Tricia Mar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Mika Ikemori UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marika Jones vs Gala Arangio?
Our model gives 62% to Marika Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.