Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 03/10, 23:30
Prediction: Dia Evtimova vs Gala Arangio
Team pages: Dia Evtimova · Gala Arangio
Prediction summary
Winner
Dia Evtimova
Gala Arangio
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Dia Evtimova
6-4 (W-L)
Gala Arangio
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dia Evtimova 1498 · Gala Arangio 1471
| Dia Evtimova | Gala Arangio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Dia Evtimova makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Dia Evtimova | Gala Arangio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.6 | 9-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 57.8% | 52% |
| Break % | 45.9% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dia Evtimova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Shakhnoza Khatamova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Brandy Walker UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 29/09 | Kiana Smith UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/09 | Kohana Darroch UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/09 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Marley Lambert UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Olive Maunupau UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 14/09 | Simone Kay UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 12/09 | June Bjork UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Sofia Thorne UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Gala Arangio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Patrycja Niewiadomska UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/10 | Norah Davoodi UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Marika Jones UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Catherine Walker UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Ariana Morris UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Mia Soso UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Kiana Smith UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Isabelle Nguyen UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Charlotte Kim UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dia Evtimova vs Gala Arangio?
Our model gives 63% to Dia Evtimova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.