Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 02/10, 20:00
Prediction: Dia Evtimova vs Shakhnoza Khatamova
Team pages: Dia Evtimova · Shakhnoza Khatamova
Prediction summary
Winner
Dia Evtimova
Shakhnoza Khatamova
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dia Evtimova
7-3 (W-L)
Shakhnoza Khatamova
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dia Evtimova
0–1
Shakhnoza Khatamova
(1 last)
- 28 Jan0-2 0-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dia Evtimova 1516 · Shakhnoza Khatamova 1576
| Dia Evtimova | Shakhnoza Khatamova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shakhnoza Khatamova (rating 1516 vs 1576).
- Head-to-head: Dia Evtimova 0–1 Shakhnoza Khatamova (1).
- Note: Dia Evtimova makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Dia Evtimova | Shakhnoza Khatamova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.8 | 11.1-8.7 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 63% |
| Break % | 48% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Dia Evtimova 0 – 1 Shakhnoza Khatamova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dia Evtimova 0–1 Shakhnoza Khatamova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/26 UTR Pro Newport Beach Women | 0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dia Evtimova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Brandy Walker UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 29/09 | Kiana Smith UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/09 | Kohana Darroch UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/09 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Marley Lambert UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Olive Maunupau UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 14/09 | Simone Kay UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 12/09 | June Bjork UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Sofia Thorne UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 10/09 | Elena Daskalova UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Shakhnoza Khatamova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Kohana Darroch UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/09 | Brandy Walker UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/08 | Tianmei Wang UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 07/08 | Chelsea Bluestein UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Briley Rhoden UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Lily Rochon UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 26/07 | Daniela Borruel UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Maria Aytoyan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dia Evtimova vs Shakhnoza Khatamova?
Our model gives 75% to Shakhnoza Khatamova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.