Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 03/10, 23:30
Prediction: Marika Jones vs Isabella Crossman
Team pages: Marika Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Marika Jones
Isabella Crossman
Estimated games
18.7
Recent form · 10 last
Marika Jones
4-6 (W-L)
Isabella Crossman
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marika Jones 1486 · Isabella Crossman 1539
| Marika Jones | Isabella Crossman | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isabella Crossman (rating 1486 vs 1539).
- Note: Marika Jones makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Marika Jones | Isabella Crossman | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-10.3 | 9.5-6.8 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 51.6% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marika Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Patrycja Niewiadomska UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Gala Arangio UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Norah Davoodi UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/09 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Emily Robertson UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Emma Tutoveanu UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Lucia Donnelly UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Anastasia Grechkina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Sophie Suh W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Sofia Thorne W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Isabella Crossman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Isabelle Nguyen UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/10 | Raina Kim UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Delaney Letzel UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Charlotte Kim UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Rianna Alame UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Teodora Jovic UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/06 | Piper Freeman UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 15/06 | Charlotte Vanstone Mcgrath UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/05 | Jasmine Adams UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 13/05 | Belle Thompson UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marika Jones vs Isabella Crossman?
Our model gives 73% to Isabella Crossman, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.