Tennis · M25 Darwin · 01/10, 07:30
Prediction: Casey Hoole vs Mustafa Ege Sik
Team pages: Casey Hoole · Mustafa Ege Sik
Prediction summary
Winner
Casey Hoole
Mustafa Ege Sik
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Casey Hoole
8-2 (W-L)
Mustafa Ege Sik
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Casey Hoole 1586 · Mustafa Ege Sik 1529
| Casey Hoole | Mustafa Ege Sik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Casey Hoole (rating 1586 vs 1529).
Statistics
| Casey Hoole | Mustafa Ege Sik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-8.3 | 11.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Casey Hoole
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 20/09 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/09 | Alex Bulte UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Wihan Van Der Merwe UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Daniel Howard UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Andre Filep UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Alex Bulte UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Jesse Gothelf UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | James Girdler UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Mustafa Ege Sik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Jesse Delaney M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Lachlan Mcfadzean M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Elijah Cham M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Chase Ferguson M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Marcus Schoeman M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/04 | Eliakim Coulibaly M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 31/03 | Evangelos Kypriotis M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Casey Hoole vs Mustafa Ege Sik?
Our model gives 68% to Casey Hoole, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.