Tennis · M25 Darwin · 01/10, 07:30
Prediction: Reece Falck vs Herman Hoeyeraal
Team pages: Reece Falck · Herman Hoeyeraal
Prediction summary
Winner
Reece Falck
Herman Hoeyeraal
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Reece Falck
4-6 (W-L)
Herman Hoeyeraal
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Reece Falck 1452 · Herman Hoeyeraal 1477
| Reece Falck | Herman Hoeyeraal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Herman Hoeyeraal makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Reece Falck | Herman Hoeyeraal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10.8 | 11.5-12.4 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 26.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reece Falck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Luca Connaughton M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 08/09 | Alexander Chang M15 Bali |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Blake Ellis M15 Bali |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Emon Van Loben Sels M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Alejandro Hayen M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Guajardo M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Vit Kalina M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Nathan Trouve M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Neo Niedner M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Herman Hoeyeraal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Ethan Cook M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Filip Drab M15 Pecs |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Jonathan Mridha M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Didrik Liljekvist M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Didrik Liljekvist M15 Malmo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Eric Vanshelboim M15 Xativa |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Yeray Andres Pastor M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Ludvig Fredrik Hede M25 Denia |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Patrick Brady Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Finn Bass Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reece Falck vs Herman Hoeyeraal?
Our model gives 55% to Herman Hoeyeraal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.