Tennis · M25 Darwin · 30/09, 09:00
Prediction: Lachlan Vickery vs Jack Bruce-Smith
Team pages: Lachlan Vickery · Jack Bruce-Smith
Prediction summary
Winner
Lachlan Vickery
Jack Bruce-Smith
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lachlan Vickery
6-4 (W-L)
Jack Bruce-Smith
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lachlan Vickery 1501 · Jack Bruce-Smith 1516
| Lachlan Vickery | Jack Bruce-Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jack Bruce-Smith makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Lachlan Vickery | Jack Bruce-Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10 | 10.8-9 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 79.8% |
| Break % | 58.7% | 33.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lachlan Vickery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Harry Roberts M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Qian Sun M25 Guiyang |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 09/09 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Jilong Huang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Lin Hao-Yu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 04/06 | Jesse Delaney M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Ryder Jackson M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/06 | Ryoma Cogan M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/02 | Liam Branger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Jack Bruce-Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Haruto Ishikawa M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Isaac Becroft M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Matthew Shearer M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/08 | Jake Dembo ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Mathieu Perchicot ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Andras Necz ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Ivan Sodan ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/08 | Raghav Jaisinghani ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Asahi Harazaki M15 Bali |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Eito Komada M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lachlan Vickery vs Jack Bruce-Smith?
Our model gives 51% to Jack Bruce-Smith, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.