Tennis · M25 Darwin · 30/09, 07:30
Prediction: Zak Talic vs Adrian Arcon
Team pages: Zak Talic · Adrian Arcon
Prediction summary
Winner
Zak Talic
Adrian Arcon
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Zak Talic
2-8 (W-L)
Adrian Arcon
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zak Talic 1420 · Adrian Arcon 1486
| Zak Talic | Adrian Arcon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrian Arcon (rating 1420 vs 1486).
- Adrian Arcon is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Zak Talic makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Zak Talic | Adrian Arcon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-12.3 | 8.5-10 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 66% |
| Break % | 29.1% | 36.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zak Talic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Mukund Sasikumar M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Ivan Dorokhov M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Stefan Vujic M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Ntungamili Raguin M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 12/05 | Thando Longwe-Smit M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Lev Seidman M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Dylan Salton M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/04 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/02 | Harry Roberts UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Adrian Arcon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Aleksandar Govedarica M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Markus Malaszszak M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Chen Dong M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Yuki Ikeda M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 30/08 | Tachatam Srisen M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Fanming Meng M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Shintaro Imai M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 11/08 | Yuquan Jin M15 Tianjin |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 28/07 | Elijah Cham M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zak Talic vs Adrian Arcon?
Our model gives 54% to Adrian Arcon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.