Tennis · M25 Darwin · 30/09, 07:30
Prediction: Philip Sekulic vs Stefan Storch
Team pages: Philip Sekulic · Stefan Storch
Prediction summary
Winner
Philip Sekulic
Stefan Storch
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Philip Sekulic
3-7 (W-L)
Stefan Storch
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Philip Sekulic 1470 · Stefan Storch 1496
| Philip Sekulic | Stefan Storch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Stefan Storch dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 47.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Philip Sekulic | Stefan Storch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-13 | 10.6-10.3 |
| Aces | 4 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Philip Sekulic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 15/09 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 03/09 | Sora Fukuda M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Stefan Storch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Har Abir Sekhon M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Haruto Ishikawa M15 Bali |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 03/09 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Bali |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Matthew Shearer M15 Bali |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Reiya Komagata M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Kazuki Nakajima M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Manish Sureshkumar M15 Bali |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Yuya Hirose M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Philip Sekulic vs Stefan Storch?
Our model gives 70% to Philip Sekulic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.