Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 30/09, 06:30
Prediction: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina
Team pages: Marat Sharipov · Dalibor Svrcina
Prediction summary
Winner
Marat Sharipov
Dalibor Svrcina
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Marat Sharipov
8-2 (W-L)
Dalibor Svrcina
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marat Sharipov 1634 · Dalibor Svrcina 1531
| Marat Sharipov | Dalibor Svrcina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marat Sharipov (rating 1634 vs 1531).
- Marat Sharipov dominates on serve: 11.1 aces and 43% break avg.
- Marat Sharipov is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Dalibor Svrcina makes many double faults (7.6/match).
Statistics
| Marat Sharipov | Dalibor Svrcina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-8.5 | 14.8-12.9 |
| Aces | 11.1 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 7.6 |
| 1st serve % | 82.7% | 68% |
| Break % | 43% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marat Sharipov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Naoya Honda Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Elias Ymer Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 15/09 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Dalibor Svrcina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Rio Noguchi ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Philip Sekulic ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Luciano Darderi US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
| 31/08 | Valentin Royer US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-23 | W |
| 28/08 | Mackenzie McDonald US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Alexis Galarneau US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Stan Wawrinka Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Mark Lajal ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina?
Our model gives 54% to Marat Sharipov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.