Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 01/10, 05:00
Prediction: Michael Zheng vs Yanki Erel
Team pages: Michael Zheng · Yanki Erel
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Zheng
Yanki Erel
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Zheng
6-4 (W-L)
Yanki Erel
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Zheng 1565 · Yanki Erel 1539
| Michael Zheng | Yanki Erel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Michael Zheng | Yanki Erel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-12 | 10.8-8.6 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 76.2% | 74.8% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 34.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Yaojie Zeng Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Evan Zhu Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-26 | L |
| 04/09 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 20-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Fabian Marozsan US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Yanki Erel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Francisco Cerundolo Davis Cup |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/09 | Radu Albot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/09 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Keisuke Saitoh M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/09 | Yuto Oki M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Kousuke Ogura M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Zheng vs Yanki Erel?
Our model gives 70% to Michael Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.