Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 30/09, 08:00
Prediction: Omar Jasika vs Dane Sweeny
Team pages: Omar Jasika · Dane Sweeny
Prediction summary
Winner
Omar Jasika
Dane Sweeny
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Omar Jasika
7-3 (W-L)
Dane Sweeny
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Omar Jasika
4–5
Dane Sweeny
(9 last)
- 21 Mar1-2 8-16L
- 15 Mar2-0 13-10W
- 02 Feb2-0 12-6W
- 05 Jul2-0 13-6W
- 25 Sept1-2 14-18L
- 31 Mar2-1 15-9W
- 11 Feb0-2 8-13L
- 25 Mar1-2 13-12L
Showing the 8 with a final score we have.
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Omar Jasika 1584 · Dane Sweeny 1436
| Omar Jasika | Dane Sweeny | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Omar Jasika (rating 1584 vs 1436).
- Omar Jasika is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Omar Jasika 4–5 Dane Sweeny (9).
- Note: Dane Sweeny makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Omar Jasika | Dane Sweeny | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 0.8-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8 | 11.8-14.2 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 40.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Omar Jasika 4 – 5 Dane Sweeny (9)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Omar Jasika 4–5 Dane Sweeny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/25 ITF M25 Swan Hill | 1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 15/03/25 ITF M25 Mildura | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/02/24 Challenger Burnie | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07/23 Challenger Bloomfield Hills | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/09/22 M25 Darwin | 1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 31/03/22 ITF M25 Canberra | 2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 11/02/22 ITF M25 Canberra | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/03/21 UTR Pro Tennis Series Canberra | 1-2 | 13-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Omar Jasika
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Chase Ferguson Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Alex Bolt ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/09 | Yaojie Zeng Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Aoran Wang Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Dane Sweeny
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Luciano Darderi US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Lorenzo Musetti US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 01/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Andres Martin Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Grigor Dimitrov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-20 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Omar Jasika vs Dane Sweeny?
Our model gives 56% to Omar Jasika, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.