Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 30/09, 06:30
Prediction: Evan Zhu vs Hanyi Liu
Team pages: Evan Zhu · Hanyi Liu
Prediction summary
Winner
Evan Zhu
Hanyi Liu
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Evan Zhu
7-3 (W-L)
Hanyi Liu
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Evan Zhu 1596 · Hanyi Liu 1530
| Evan Zhu | Hanyi Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Evan Zhu (rating 1596 vs 1530).
Statistics
| Evan Zhu | Hanyi Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-9.4 | 10.5-8 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Zhiheng Xia Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/09 | Henry Searle Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/09 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Aleksi Lofman Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Michael Zheng Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/08 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Arjun Kadhe Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Hanyi Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Ren Nakamura Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Jia Hu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Kosuke Shibano M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Evan Zhu vs Hanyi Liu?
Our model gives 68% to Evan Zhu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.