Tennis · M25 Darwin · 29/09, 10:30
Prediction: Lachlan Vickery vs Harry Roberts
Team pages: Lachlan Vickery
Prediction summary
Winner
Lachlan Vickery
Harry Roberts
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lachlan Vickery
5-5 (W-L)
Harry Roberts
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lachlan Vickery 1482 · Harry Roberts 1509
| Lachlan Vickery | Harry Roberts | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lachlan Vickery | Harry Roberts | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.8 | 8.2-9.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 60.5% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lachlan Vickery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Qian Sun M25 Guiyang |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 09/09 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Jilong Huang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Lin Hao-Yu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 04/06 | Jesse Delaney M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Ryder Jackson M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/06 | Ryoma Cogan M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/02 | Liam Branger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 17/02 | Simone Massellani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Harry Roberts
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 23/02 | Oliver Clark Anderson M25 Burnie |
0-2 | 1-11 | L |
| 12/02 | Zak Talic UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/02 | Aryan Karnani UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/02 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/01 | Luke Cripps UTR Pro Wagga Wagga · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/01 | Jacob Cairncross UTR Pro Wagga Wagga · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/01 | Mathieu Perchicot UTR Pro Wagga Wagga · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/01 | Robin Eldin UTR Pro Wagga Wagga · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lachlan Vickery vs Harry Roberts?
Our model gives 68% to Lachlan Vickery, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.