Tennis · M25 Darwin · 29/09, 09:00
Prediction: Jack Bruce-Smith vs Haruto Ishikawa
Team pages: Jack Bruce-Smith · Haruto Ishikawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Jack Bruce-Smith
Haruto Ishikawa
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jack Bruce-Smith
6-4 (W-L)
Haruto Ishikawa
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jack Bruce-Smith 1515 · Haruto Ishikawa 1470
| Jack Bruce-Smith | Haruto Ishikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jack Bruce-Smith (rating 1515 vs 1470).
- Note: Jack Bruce-Smith makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Jack Bruce-Smith | Haruto Ishikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.4 | 9.2-11 |
| Aces | 7.8 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 78.3% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 33.8% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jack Bruce-Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Isaac Becroft M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Matthew Shearer M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/08 | Jake Dembo ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Mathieu Perchicot ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Andras Necz ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Ivan Sodan ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/08 | Raghav Jaisinghani ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Asahi Harazaki M15 Bali |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Eito Komada M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Andras Necz M15 Bali |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
Haruto Ishikawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Jerome Estephan UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 16/09 | Arjun Mehrotra UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Jeremy Beale UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Yan Cheng Chen M15 Bali |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/09 | Stefan Storch M15 Bali |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Gunawan Trismuwantara M15 Bali |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 30/08 | Ashwin Ryan Sharma M15 Bali |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jack Bruce-Smith vs Haruto Ishikawa?
Our model gives 62% to Jack Bruce-Smith, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.