Tennis · M25 Darwin · 30/09, 09:00
Prediction: Shintaro Imai vs Zane Stevens
Team pages: Shintaro Imai · Zane Stevens
Prediction summary
Winner
Shintaro Imai
Zane Stevens
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Shintaro Imai
6-4 (W-L)
Zane Stevens
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shintaro Imai 1498 · Zane Stevens 1549
| Shintaro Imai | Zane Stevens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zane Stevens (rating 1498 vs 1549).
- Zane Stevens is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Shintaro Imai | Zane Stevens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.8 | 11.5-9.6 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shintaro Imai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Pawit Sornlaksup M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Jordan Hasson M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Tanapatt Nirundorn M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Yuto Oki M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Adrian Arcon M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 08/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui M15 Astana |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/08 | Dan Brand M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Sora Fukuda M15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Zane Stevens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Oscar Andrews UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/08 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Omar Jasika UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Henry Lamchinniah UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Jeremy Beale UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/08 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shintaro Imai vs Zane Stevens?
Our model gives 59% to Shintaro Imai, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.