Tennis · M25 Darwin · 30/09, 09:00
Prediction: Makoto Ochi vs Chen Dong
Team pages: Makoto Ochi · Chen Dong
Prediction summary
Winner
Makoto Ochi
Chen Dong
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Makoto Ochi
5-5 (W-L)
Chen Dong
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Makoto Ochi
1–0
Chen Dong
(1 last)
- 22 Jul2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Makoto Ochi 1478 · Chen Dong 1458
| Makoto Ochi | Chen Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Makoto Ochi 1–0 Chen Dong (1).
Statistics
| Makoto Ochi | Chen Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.5 | 8.4-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 59.1% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
H2H · Makoto Ochi 1 – 0 Chen Dong (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Makoto Ochi 1–0 Chen Dong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/25 M15 Wuning | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Makoto Ochi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Yuki Mochizuki M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Seiya Nakanishi M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Yu Tanaka M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/08 | Yuya Hirose M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/08 | Sean Cuenin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Drazen Petrovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Pietro Pampanin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Chen Dong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Pawit Sornlaksup M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 09/09 | Dev Javia M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Manish Sureshkumar M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Adrian Arcon M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/04 | Emile Hudd M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Sergey Petrov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Fanming Meng M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Makoto Ochi vs Chen Dong?
Our model gives 63% to Makoto Ochi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.