Tennis · M25 Darwin · 29/09, 10:30
Prediction: Moerani Bouzige vs Casey Hoole
Team pages: Moerani Bouzige · Casey Hoole
Prediction summary
Winner
Moerani Bouzige
Casey Hoole
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Moerani Bouzige
4-6 (W-L)
Casey Hoole
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Moerani Bouzige
1–1
Casey Hoole
(2 last)
- 19 Dec2-0 13-9W
- 21 Jul0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moerani Bouzige 1492 · Casey Hoole 1604
| Moerani Bouzige | Casey Hoole | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Casey Hoole (rating 1492 vs 1604).
- Casey Hoole is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Moerani Bouzige | Casey Hoole | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.6 | 11.9-7.2 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 32.7% | 54.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Moerani Bouzige 1 – 1 Casey Hoole (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moerani Bouzige 1–1 Casey Hoole
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/24 ITF M15 Tauranga | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07/21 UTR Pro Tennis Series Brisbane | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moerani Bouzige
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Arthur Weber M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/09 | Florent Bax M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Markus Malaszszak M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Aniketh Venkataraman M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Omar Jasika M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Jake Delaney M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Casey Hoole
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/09 | Alex Bulte UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Wihan Van Der Merwe UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Daniel Howard UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Andre Filep UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Alex Bulte UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Jesse Gothelf UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | James Girdler UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Cameron Burton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moerani Bouzige vs Casey Hoole?
Our model gives 56% to Casey Hoole, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.