Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 29/09, 04:00
Prediction: Adam Walton vs Alexandr Binda
Team pages: Adam Walton · Alexandr Binda
Prediction summary
Winner
Adam Walton
Alexandr Binda
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Adam Walton
6-4 (W-L)
Alexandr Binda
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adam Walton 1502 · Alexandr Binda 1572
| Adam Walton | Alexandr Binda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandr Binda (rating 1502 vs 1572).
- Alexandr Binda is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Adam Walton | Alexandr Binda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.2 | 13.2-11.3 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 32.3% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adam Walton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Valentin Royer ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Yibing Wu US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 24/08 | Jesper De Jong ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 17/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Justin Boulais ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Alexandr Binda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Yinchuan |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 25/09 | Jesse Flores M25 Yinchuan |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 15/09 | Aoran Wang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Kousuke Ogura Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adam Walton vs Alexandr Binda?
Our model gives 65% to Adam Walton, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.